Colorado St.
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
15  Jerrell Mock SR 31:05
39  Cole Rockhold JR 31:26
64  Grant Fischer SR 31:35
99  Eric Hamer JR 31:46
168  Wayde Hall SR 32:03
271  Carson Hume JR 32:22
334  Trent Powell JR 32:31
349  Satchel Caldwell SO 32:33
517  Forrest Barton SO 32:52
National Rank #8 of 315
Mountain Region Rank #4 of 18
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 100.0%
Most Likely Finish 6th at Nationals


National Champion 0.1%
Top 5 at Nationals 18.4%
Top 10 at Nationals 63.3%
Top 20 at Nationals 98.1%


Regional Champion 0.3%
Top 5 in Regional 90.6%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Jerrell Mock Cole Rockhold Grant Fischer Eric Hamer Wayde Hall Carson Hume Trent Powell Satchel Caldwell Forrest Barton
Roy Griak Invitational 09/23 266 30:46 31:19 31:32 31:29 31:54 32:25 32:41 32:14 32:11
Rocky Mountain Shootout 09/30 1164
Nuttycombe Invitational 10/13 337 31:10 31:21 31:46 31:40 31:52 32:38 32:50
Mountain West Championship 10/27 288 31:10 31:11 31:28 31:19 32:21 32:10 32:05 32:43 32:39
Mountain Region Championships 11/10 396 31:08 31:31 31:27 32:12 32:16 32:44 32:05





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 100.0% 9.6 309 0.1 1.1 3.2 6.6 7.5 9.3 9.0 8.7 8.9 9.1 7.5 5.2 5.6 4.3 3.9 2.9 1.6 1.6 1.5 1.0 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Region Championship 100% 4.0 111 0.3 3.0 32.5 33.8 21.1 8.5 0.9 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jerrell Mock 100% 17.4 0.1 0.6 1.2 2.0 2.9 3.4 3.6 3.6 4.4 4.3 4.4 4.0 3.4 3.1 2.3 3.8 2.3 2.4 2.1 2.0 2.5 2.2 1.5 1.1 2.2
Cole Rockhold 100.0% 45.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.7 0.5 1.0 0.7 0.9 1.3 1.0 1.2 1.0 1.2 1.6 2.1 1.1 1.6 1.9 1.4 1.9
Grant Fischer 100.0% 61.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.8 1.4
Eric Hamer 100.0% 86.5 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1
Wayde Hall 100.0% 133.6
Carson Hume 100.0% 179.3
Trent Powell 100.0% 196.8


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jerrell Mock 7.1 3.4 5.3 7.8 8.7 8.9 7.9 7.4 6.2 5.3 5.4 4.7 2.8 3.1 3.1 2.3 2.4 2.2 1.6 1.9 1.3 1.3 1.3 0.9 0.9 0.8
Cole Rockhold 16.0 0.1 0.6 1.1 1.9 2.4 3.5 4.5 4.0 4.8 4.7 4.6 4.8 4.8 4.8 3.8 3.9 3.8 3.6 2.8 3.3 2.9 3.1 2.6 2.2
Grant Fischer 19.8 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.5 1.8 2.5 1.7 3.3 3.3 3.6 4.1 3.8 4.6 4.8 5.2 4.4 4.5 3.8 3.2 3.8 4.1 2.8
Eric Hamer 25.6 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.7 1.3 1.2 1.8 2.5 2.9 2.7 3.9 3.6 4.5 4.5 4.7 4.3 4.5 3.9
Wayde Hall 34.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.8 0.7 1.3 1.1 2.2 2.2 2.2
Carson Hume 43.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2
Trent Powell 48.2 0.1




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.3% 100.0% 0.3 0.3 1
2 3.0% 100.0% 3.0 3.0 2
3 32.5% 100.0% 22.9 8.1 1.3 0.3 0.1 32.5 3
4 33.8% 100.0% 21.0 10.3 2.1 0.5 0.1 33.8 4
5 21.1% 100.0% 13.1 6.2 1.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 21.1 5
6 8.5% 100.0% 4.9 2.5 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.1 8.5 6
7 0.9% 100.0% 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.9 7
8 0.1% 0.1 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.3 3.0 22.9 29.1 24.6 13.3 4.7 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 3.2 96.8




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Michigan 99.8% 1.0 1.0
Southern Utah 99.8% 1.0 1.0
Michigan State 99.4% 2.0 2.0
Air Force 98.3% 2.0 2.0
Iona 97.0% 1.0 1.0
Iowa State 95.0% 1.0 1.0
UCLA 88.5% 2.0 1.8
Minnesota 88.2% 2.0 1.8
Washington 71.7% 1.0 0.7
North Carolina St. 69.1% 1.0 0.7
Illinois 56.1% 1.0 0.6
Washington St. 42.1% 1.0 0.4
Utah State 39.2% 1.0 0.4
Eastern Kentucky 38.0% 1.0 0.4
Penn 37.5% 1.0 0.4
Boise State 37.1% 2.0 0.7
Navy 32.9% 1.0 0.3
Wisconsin 26.1% 1.0 0.3
Florida State 23.7% 1.0 0.2
Purdue 22.8% 1.0 0.2
San Francisco 20.6% 2.0 0.4
Tulsa 7.9% 1.0 0.1
Eastern Michigan 4.6% 1.0 0.0
Columbia 4.0% 1.0 0.0
Virginia 3.8% 1.0 0.0
Indiana 1.0% 1.0 0.0
California 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Kentucky 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Total 17.4
Minimum 12.0
Maximum 22.0